Experimental Validation of a Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Model
A method is developed for validating a probabilistic fracture analysis code (PROFRANC). The method is based on classical statistical techniques and experimental data. It is shown that...
A New Probabilistic Model for the Fracture Toughness of Concrete
Scatter of strength and toughness parameters as well as scale effect are often observed in brittle materials such as concrete. The recently developed Crack Diffusion Model is utilized....
Probabilistic Particle-Related Constitutive Model for Clayey Material
Particle-related (microscopic) soil modeling has attracted attention of research community in recent years, because of complication and shortcoming associated with inelastic macroscopic...
Fabric Related Probabilistic Model for Granular Materials
A new anisotropic noncoaxial incremental constitutive model for granular materials (Jahedi et al., 1990) was developed, in which a Fabric reconstruction factor '?+',...
Probabilistic Rotordynamics Analysis Using an Adaptive Importance Sampling Method
A methodology is developed to compute the probability of instability of a rotor system that can be represented by a system of second-order ordindary linear differential equations. The...
Construction Loads on Floors: Results of a Survey
A survey of post-shorting construction loads on floors of multi-storey buildings is described. The estimated parameters of a probabilistic model of the peak (transient) loads are reported....
Floor Live Load Models and Pattern Load Effects
Probabilistic models of sustained live loads and equivalent uniformly distributed loads are discussed with regard to pattern load effects. A simple equivalent pattern load is identified...
Structural Reliability and Failure Mechanism Determination Using Monte Carlo Simulation with Variance Reduction Techniques
The objective of this paper is to present a possible method for assessing a structure's reliability and determining the collapse mechanism using Monte-Carlo simulation with variance reduction...
Reliability-Based Specification of Design Load-Effect for Penetrating Fragments and Debris
This paper presents the derivation and application of a simplified reliability-based approach for selecting design fragments/debris particles for use in protective design. Using this approach,...
A Two-Stage Safety Assessment Methodology for Construction Activities
The control of construction activities requires the evaluation of the condition of the control attributes of interest. In order to develop the required methodology, a model of the construction...
Numerical Solution of the Transient Fokker-Planck Equation: The Movie
The finite element method is applied to the solution of the transient Fokker-Planck equation for several nonlinear dynamical systems in R2, giving...
First-Excursion Probability of Uncertain Structures
The first-order reliability method (FORM) is used to estimate the first-excursion probability of uncertain structures subjected to deterministic dynamic loads. An algorithm is developed...
An Exact Expression for the Distribution of Linear Combinations of Uniform Random Variables
Structural dynamic analysis have often in the past relied on the assumption that the system under consideration is well known ahd have been associated the unpredictability of the response...
Critical Buckling Load Statistics of an Uncertain Column
The objective of this paper is to examine the statistics of the buckling load of a column with uncertain material properties. The elastic modulus is assumed to be a random process that...
Live Load Models Based on WIM Data
The objective of the paper is to present the results of weigh-in-motion (WIM) measurements carried out in Michigan. Selected bridges were instrumented and truck weights and axle configurations...
Retention Parameter Estimates for Curve Number Runoff Procedure
A technique is developed for computing estimates and associated probabilities of the retention parameter S in the Soil Conservation Service curve number runoff procedure. This technique...
Forecasting Instabilities in Groundwater Parameters
A multiprocess Kalman filter recursive procedure is used as a tool for modeling and analysis of noisy groundwater series in order to detect abrupt fluctuations and instabilities in the...
Probability and Climatology of Droughts in the Western United States
The incidence of drought in the western United States is caused primarily by large-scale anomalies in the circulation of atmospheric, midlatitudinal, transport and the occurrence of the...
Study of Groundwater Availability in Case of Drought
Groundwater drought events were derived by taking truncation levels through the time series of daily drawdown records from observation wells. Droughts of various truncation levels, namely,...
Assessment of Derived Flood Frequency Distributions
Derived flood frequency distributions based on the geomorphologic IUH are evaluated in this work. Two existing approaches, the methods of Hebson and Wood (1982) and Diaz-Granados et al....
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